Here’s what’s much weaker than playing American Pharoah in the Derby and the Preakness: playing something else. The trendy horse, Firing Line, barely got around the race track. Like all the great ones.
What will a Triple Crown winner do for this country?
Two streaks held steady at the Preakness. You would have to bring something fancy to compete with Pharoah.
The goal of horse race handicapping is not to beat the favorite. And the “value” jinx was once again a sure thing, as one TV picker said he was looking for “value” and then tabbed Firing Line.
What’s not to like about a great animal.
The place to look for “value” is at the pawn shop.. American Pharoah is not like the even-money horse in a $5,000 claiming race at Charles Town, where you might beat the chalk with a farm pet. Trendy horses make money disappear. They’re almost reluctant to recommend something that would pay almost a 100 percent return on the investment in a few minutes. The goal is to make some money. For its last three or four races, American Pharoah has been a gimme in any pick 3, 4 or 6 sequence in which it has been involved.
Hopefully we’re past the point where certain of the handicapping set think that the extra distance in New York will benefit a closer.
Whereas it is great fun to beat a favorite, there’s this to keep in mind: all favorites are not alike. But this is no fair weather runner from California like California Chrome and Dortmund.
One of the most costly fears around the horse race track is fear of favorites.
It can be more harmful than the fear of the kitchen at the track.
Many public handicappers who would have a hard time picking what day tomorrow is act as though picking a favorite is a sign of weakness.
Make us happy.
Knowing which favorite you can’t beat is a trait that is often indicative of good horse handicapping sense.
Sure, Materiality and another party crasher or two will have the speed to test Pharoah in New York. Wet tracks never help an outside horse unless it can get to the lead. The winner will be near the front